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TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 29 2015
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13)
WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 12(21)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 8(18)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) X(10)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
NNNN
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