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BULLETIN
HURRICANE JOAQUIN ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
500 PM AST MON OCT 05 2015

...JOAQUIN MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.8N 64.0W
ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM N OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Joaquin was
located near latitude 35.8 North, longitude 64.0 West. Joaquin is
moving toward the north-northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn
toward the northeast is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward
the east-northeast by Tuesday evening. On the forecast track, the
center of Joaquin will continue to move farther away from Bermuda.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Gradual weakening is forecast to begin by Tuesday morning,
and Joaquin is expected to transition to a large extratropical low
pressure system on Wednesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).  A wind gust to 45 mph (72 km/h) was recently reported at
the Bermuda International Airport.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 964 mb (28.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical-storm-force wind gusts could affect Bermuda for a
couple of more hours.

SURF:  Swells generated by Joaquin will continue to affect Bermuda
and portions of the Bahamas during the next day or so.  Swells are
affecting much of the east coast of the United States and will
spread northward along the coast of Atlantic Canada during the next
day or two.  These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions.  Even though Joaquin is located well to
the east of the coast of the United States, a prolonged period of
elevated water levels and large waves will affect the mid-Atlantic
region, causing significant beach and dune erosion with moderate
coastal flooding likely. Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

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