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HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
0300 UTC WED OCT 07 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N  53.1W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT  25 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 140SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT.......150NE 210SE 240SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 360SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N  53.1W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.6N  54.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 41.0N  47.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE   0SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 240SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 42.1N  39.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...110NE 140SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 270SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 43.4N  31.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 130SW 100NW.
34 KT...270NE 300SE 300SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 44.7N  25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 160SE 130SW   0NW.
34 KT...300NE 360SE 300SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 44.0N  17.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 240SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 43.0N  13.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.0N  53.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
 
 
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