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HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
2100 UTC TUE OCT 06 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N  56.9W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  75SE 100SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 240SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 360SE 420SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N  56.9W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.8N  58.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 40.4N  51.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 100SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 210SE 240SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 42.0N  44.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 100SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 210SE 200SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 43.0N  36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 230SE 200SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 44.0N  28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...140NE 160SE 130SW   0NW.
34 KT...300NE 310SE 270SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 46.5N  20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...220NE 300SE 240SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 48.0N  13.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 49.0N  10.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.0N  56.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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