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HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
2100 UTC MON OCT 05 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N  64.0W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  964 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 420SE 480SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N  64.0W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.4N  64.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 37.1N  61.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 38.7N  57.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 180SE 170SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 40.0N  51.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 200SE 200SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 41.4N  43.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 120SE 120SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 240SE 240SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 44.0N  28.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 110SE 110SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 220SE 220SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 45.6N  20.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 48.0N  14.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.8N  64.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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