Hurricane JOAQUIN

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HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
2100 UTC SUN OCT 04 2015
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N  66.4W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT.......160NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..290NE 400SE 350SW 600NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N  66.4W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  66.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 33.8N  65.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 35.6N  64.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 37.3N  61.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 39.2N  56.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 42.5N  42.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  80SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 200SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 46.1N  27.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 49.7N  18.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.2N  66.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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