Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Storm JOAQUIN


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
0300 UTC WED SEP 30 2015
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS AS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE
CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 TO 48
HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JOAQUIN.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED EARLY
WEDNESDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N  71.7W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 110SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N  71.7W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8N  71.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 25.5N  72.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 25.2N  73.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.8N  74.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.9N  74.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.7N  74.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 31.3N  72.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 35.5N  72.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N  71.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
NNNN