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TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102015
1500 UTC MON SEP 21 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  48.0W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE  75SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  48.0W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  47.7W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.1N  48.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.3N  47.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.2N  47.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.7N  46.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 20.8N  46.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  50SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 22.0N  46.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 24.0N  48.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N  48.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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