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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102015
2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  37.3W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  37.3W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  37.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 13.9N  38.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 14.9N  40.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.1N  42.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.2N  44.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 19.5N  47.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 20.5N  48.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 20.5N  48.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N  37.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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