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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092015
0300 UTC THU SEP 17 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  45.1W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  45.1W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  44.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.6N  45.4W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.6N  45.9W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.8N  46.8W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 19.8N  47.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 21.0N  50.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 22.0N  52.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N  45.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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