ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DANNY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
2100 UTC SAT AUG 22 2015
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANNY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6)
CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11)
PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 1(15) 1(16)
PONCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PONCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 1(19) X(19)
SAN JUAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 16(23) X(23) X(23)
SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 13(21) X(21) X(21)
SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 7(31) X(31) X(31)
SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 21(27) 4(31) X(31) X(31)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
BARBUDA 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) 20(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38)
BARBUDA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ANTIGUA 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 20(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36)
ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GUADELOUPE 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 10(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
AVES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
DOMINICA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
NHC on Facebook
Twitter
YouTube
NHC Blog: