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TROPICAL STORM DANNY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
0300 UTC WED AUG 19 2015
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANNY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 38.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11)
GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11)
DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12)
MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
MARTINIQUE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
SAINT LUCIA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
SAINT VINCENT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12)
BARBADOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
BARBADOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
GRENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
PORT OF SPAIN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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