ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
HURRICANE DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042015
500 PM AST FRI AUG 21 2015

...DANNY LIKELY AT PEAK INTENSITY...
...FORECAST TO WEAKEN STARTING TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.5N 49.1W
ABOUT 860 MI...1390 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of
Danny.  Tropical storm watches may be required for portions of the
Leeward Islands on Saturday.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Danny was located
near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 49.1 West. Danny is moving
toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue through tonight.  A turn toward the west is
expected on Saturday or Saturday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher
gusts.  This makes Danny a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-
Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Danny is moving into an area of
unfavorable upper-level winds, and weakening is forecast during
the next 48 hours.

Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Danny
remains a very small tropical cyclone.  Hurricane force winds extend
outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical storm
force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure based on earlier data from
the NOAA aircraft is 974 mb (28.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

NNNN