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Hurricane DANNY


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HURRICANE DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042015
2100 UTC SAT AUG 22 2015
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND
ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* GUADELOUPE...ST. BARTHELEMY...AND ST. MARTIN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE U. S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO
RICO...AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
DANNY.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS
OF THESE AREAS TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  53.3W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  53.3W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  52.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.1N  55.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.6N  57.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 17.1N  60.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.8N  62.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.5N  68.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 21.0N  72.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 23.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N  53.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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