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SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015
2100 UTC FRI MAY 08 2015
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 1(13)
RICHMOND VA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 8(11) 3(14) X(14)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 9(13) 4(17) X(17)
NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
NORFOLK VA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 9(13) 4(17) X(17)
NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 7( 8) 6(14) X(14)
GREENSBORO NC 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) 6(14) 1(15) X(15)
RALEIGH NC 34 2 4( 6) 3( 9) 4(13) 8(21) 1(22) X(22)
RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 4 4( 8) 2(10) 1(11) 9(20) 2(22) X(22)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) 3(10) 4(14) X(14) X(14)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 10 9(19) 5(24) 3(27) 7(34) 1(35) X(35)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WILMINGTON NC 34 18 14(32) 7(39) 4(43) 5(48) 1(49) X(49)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
COLUMBIA SC 34 4 6(10) 4(14) 3(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 26 18(44) 10(54) 4(58) 2(60) 1(61) X(61)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
CHARLESTON SC 34 17 15(32) 7(39) 3(42) 2(44) X(44) X(44)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
AUGUSTA GA 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
SAVANNAH GA 34 5 6(11) 4(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
MAYPORT NS 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
JACKSONVILLE 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PATRICK AFB 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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