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SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012015
0300 UTC SAT MAY 09 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24-36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ANA.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  77.4W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  77.4W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  77.3W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 32.4N  77.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 80NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 32.9N  78.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 33.6N  78.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 34.3N  78.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 37.0N  76.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...MERGED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.1N  77.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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