Tropical Depression TWENTY-E

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   1A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
500 PM PDT FRI OCT 17 2014

...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 99.0W
ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM SE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TECPAN DE GALEANA TO LAGUNA DE CHACAHUA MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWENTY-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.0 WEST.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. THE
SYSTEM SHOULD SLOW DOWN DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AND IS LIKELY TO
MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN MEXICO ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER
TONIGHT WITH WEAKENING ANTICIPATED AFTER THE CYCLONE MAKES LANDFALL.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED TO SPREAD OVER
PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 6 TO
12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 20 INCHES DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS IN THE STATES OF GUERRERO AND OAXACA IN SOUTHERN MEXICO. THESE
RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

SURF...SWELLS AND DANGEROUS WAVES FROM THE DEPRESSION WILL AFFECT
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...LIKELY CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS.  PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

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