Tropical Depression SIMON

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIMON ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192014
200 PM PDT TUE OCT 07 2014

...SIMON WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.9N 116.3W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM W OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIMON
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.3 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H
...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO...AND SIMON IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...SIMON OR ITS REMNANT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 8
INCHES THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE STATE OF SONORA IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO.
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF AROUND 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF ARIZONA.  THIS RAINFALL COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND
MUD SLIDES.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY SIMON WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
TODAY.  THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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