Hurricane SIMON

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE SIMON ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192014
800 AM PDT SAT OCT 04 2014

...SIMON RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...20.2N 113.8W
ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM WNW OF SOCORRO ISLAND
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE SIMON WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.8 WEST. SIMON IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT.  A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS FORECAST BY SUNDAY MORNING.

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SIMON IS RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY TODAY...AND
SIMON IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN ON SUNDAY.  A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE SIMON LATER TODAY.

SIMON REMAINS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...SIMON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 6 INCHES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR.  THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE
FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY SIMON ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO.  THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

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