Hurricane SIMON

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HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192014
2100 UTC SAT OCT 04 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 115.0W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
EYE DIAMETER   5 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 115.0W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 114.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.5N 116.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.7N 117.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 23.5N 117.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 24.1N 117.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 25.5N 117.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 26.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 27.5N 115.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 115.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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