Tropical Storm POLO
ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM POLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172014
2100 UTC THU SEP 18 2014
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM POLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 8(11) 7(18) X(18) X(18)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 5(14) 1(15) X(15)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
CULIACAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
MAZATLAN 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAN BLAS 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
P VALLARTA 34 3 3( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 7 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
MANZANILLO 34 3 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 8(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 2 4( 6) 5(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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