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Tropical Storm POLO (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM POLO ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
800 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2014

...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS NOW ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.7N 102.4W
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO
TO PLAYA PERULA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PLAYA
PERULA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM EAST OF PLAYA SAN TELMO
TO ZIHUATANEJO
* SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM WEST OF PLAYA PERULA TO CABO
CORRIENTES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM POLO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.4 WEST. POLO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF POLO WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF AND MOVE
PARALLEL TO THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. HOWEVER, ANY DEVIATION
TO THE NORTH OF THE TRACK COULD BRING STRONGER WINDS TO THE COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  POLO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT
OR EARLY THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA TODAY.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY POLO WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...POLO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5
TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 15 INCHES NEAR THE COAST OF
MICHOACAN...COLIMA...AND JALISCO STATES IN MEXICO.  THESE RAINS
COULD RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

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