Tropical Storm POLO
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TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172014
2100 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014
CORRECTED FOR INITIAL WIND GUSTS.
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA LATER TODAY.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 108.2W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 90SE 90SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 108.2W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 107.8W
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.0N 108.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 90SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.7N 109.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 90SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.4N 111.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 22.5N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 22.0N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 108.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
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FORECASTER AVILA
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