Tropical Storm ODILE

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  27A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
500 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 2014

...CENTER OF ODILE BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...
...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUING OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED
STATES...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.4N 113.6W
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM S OF PUERTO PENASCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM MULEGE TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM GUAYMAS TO PUERTO PENASCO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.6 WEST.  ODILE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING.  A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN ADDITIONAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA
THROUGH TONIGHT...AND INTO NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO ON
WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED WHILE ODILE REMAINS
OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  RAPID WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AFTER ODILE
MOVES INLAND OVER NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS
OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA
TONIGHT.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE COULD STILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL
FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS...AND ALSO FROM NEAR SAN FELIPE
AROUND THE FAR NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST TO NEAR PUERTO
PENASCO.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
AND DAMAGING WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH
FRIDAY. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

ABUNDANT MOISTURE AHEAD OF ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS AROUND 9
INCHES ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA...SOUTHWESTERN
NEW MEXICO...AND FAR WESTERN TEXAS INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THESE RAINS
COULD RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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