Hurricane ODILE

ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
2100 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

CORRECTED 12-HOUR FORECAST INTENSITY TO 115 KT

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY MONDAY MORNING.  PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 108.9W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  922 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 390SE 330SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 108.9W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 108.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.6N 110.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 24.2N 111.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.4N 112.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 26.5N 113.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 27.8N 115.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 28.3N 115.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 28.5N 115.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 108.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


NNNN