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Hurricane ODILE (Text)


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HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1500 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

CORRECTED SPELLING OF PUNTA ABREOJOS

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM MULEGE TO SANTA ROSALIA...AND HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL WATCH
NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 108.2W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 390SE 330SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 108.2W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 107.7W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.7N 109.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 23.5N 111.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 24.9N 112.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 25.9N 113.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 27.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 28.1N 116.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 28.3N 116.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 108.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART


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Page last modified: Wednesday, 31-Dec-2014 12:09:49 UTC