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Tropical Storm NORBERT (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM NORBERT ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142014
200 PM PDT WED SEP 03 2014

...NORBERT TURNS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 109.2W
ABOUT 230 MI...375 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ MEXICO
TO SAN EVARISTO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA PAZ TO SANTA FE MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SANTA FE NORTHWARD TO CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
* NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SAN EVARISTO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORBERT WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.2 WEST. NORBERT IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H.  NORBERT
SHOULD TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE ON THAT
GENERAL MOTION FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON THURSDAY...AND MOVE NEARLY PARALLEL TO
THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE PENINSULA ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE THIS EVENING AND
CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA BY FRIDAY MORNING.

RAINFALL...NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
5 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
THROUGH FRIDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST
OF MEXICO THROUGH THURSDAY...AND PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS
AND RIP CURRENTS.  LARGE SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO
THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND AFFECT THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR BY THURSDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

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