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Hurricane NORBERT (Text)

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HURRICANE NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142014
2100 UTC SAT SEP 06 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND FOR THE WEST
COAST SOUTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 114.8W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  90SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 200SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 114.8W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 114.5W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 25.8N 115.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 26.6N 116.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 27.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 28.8N 117.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 29.5N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 30.0N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 114.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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