Hurricane NORBERT

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HURRICANE NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142014
0900 UTC SAT SEP 06 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO CABO SAN LAZARO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTO TO
LORETO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS FOR THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF SANTA FE ON THE WEST COAST AND SOUTH
OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANTA FE TO PUNTA EUGENIA
* SAN EVARISTO TO LORETO

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 113.4W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  90SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 270SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 113.4W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 113.1W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 25.2N 114.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 26.0N 115.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 26.9N 116.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 27.8N 117.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 29.5N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 30.0N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 30.0N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 113.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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