Hurricane NORBERT

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HURRICANE NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142014
1500 UTC THU SEP 04 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA PAZ TO CABO SAN LAZARO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO
* NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SAN EVARISTO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 110.4W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 150SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 110.4W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 110.2W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.5N 111.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.5N 112.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.5N 113.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 24.3N 114.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 25.9N 117.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 27.6N 118.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 29.0N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 110.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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