Tropical Depression THIRTEEN-E

ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
0300 UTC FRI AUG 22 2014

CORRECTED ADVISORY NUMBER TO ADVISORY NUMBER 1

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   3(11)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)

LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)

LORETO         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)

MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

L CARDENAS     34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

ZIHUATANEJO    34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ACAPULCO       34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  27(28)  26(54)   4(58)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  16(24)   2(26)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   1(12)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  32(37)  10(47)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   6(21)
ISLA CLARION   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)

CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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