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Hurricane MARIE (Text)

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HURRICANE MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
200 PM PDT MON AUG 25 2014

...MARIE GRADUALLY WEAKENING BUT STILL A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...18.4N 115.8W
ABOUT 490 MI...790 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...939 MB...27.73 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.8 WEST.  MARIE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H.  A NORTHWESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SIMILAR FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  MARIE IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  MORE RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO
BEGIN BY TUESDAY NIGHT WHEN MARIE MOVES OVER COLDER WATER...AND IT
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 939 MB...27.73 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE ARE AFFECTING THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO...THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL
SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA TODAY...AND WILL REACH SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BY TUESDAY.
THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.  FOR MORE
INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG

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