Tropical Depression TWELVE-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122014
0900 UTC MON AUG 18 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 117.5W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 117.5W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 117.1W

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 16.4N 118.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.0N 119.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.7N 120.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.4N 120.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.7N 120.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 22.2N 122.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 25.5N 124.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 117.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


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