Tropical Storm KARINA

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TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
1500 UTC TUE AUG 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 134.4W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  30SE  30SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 134.4W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 134.2W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.7N 135.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.8N 135.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.0N 136.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.0N 136.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.0N 136.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 17.7N 132.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 21.0N 129.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 134.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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