Tropical Storm KARINA

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TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
2100 UTC SAT AUG 16 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 125.0W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  50SE  60SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 125.0W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 124.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.7N 126.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.5N 128.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.0N 129.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 16.5N 131.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.0N 132.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 15.5N 132.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 15.5N 132.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 125.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
 
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FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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