Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression KARINA


ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA DISCUSSION NUMBER  53
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
800 PM PDT MON AUG 25 2014

The upper-level outflow from Hurricane Marie continues to strongly
shear Karina, though a persistent area of deep convection continues
in the western quadrant of the cyclone.  The initial intensity
remains 30 kt as a blend of satellite intensity estimates from TAFB
and SAB.  Due to the ongoing shear, Karina is expected to degenerate
into a remnant low in about 12 hours, and then be absorbed into
the much larger Marie in 24-36 hours.

The initial motion is 095/4.  A general east-southeastward motion
with some increase in forward speed is expected until the cyclone
is absorbed.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  26/0300Z 17.2N 127.3W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  26/1200Z 16.9N 126.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  27/0000Z 16.4N 125.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  27/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

NNNN