Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane ISELLE


ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE ISELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19                
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092014               
0300 UTC TUE AUG 05 2014                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 138.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
115 KTS...135 MPH...215 KM/H.                                       
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  X   2( 2)  15(17)   6(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
20N 145W       34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  10(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  26(26)  13(39)   X(39)
HILO           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)   X(11)
HILO           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  20(20)  14(34)   X(34)
SOUTH POINT    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)
SOUTH POINT    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)  19(35)   X(35)
KAILUA-KONA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   X( 9)
KAILUA-KONA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  17(27)   1(28)
KAHULUI        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)
KAHULUI        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  20(28)   X(28)
LANAI CITY     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)
LANAI CITY     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  19(25)   1(26)
KAUNAKAKAI     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)
KAUNAKAKAI     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  19(22)   1(23)
HONOLULU       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   2(18)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   3(16)
NIIHAU         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN                                               
NNNN