Tropical Storm HERNAN

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TROPICAL STORM HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082014
0300 UTC TUE JUL 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 118.6W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 118.6W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 118.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 23.1N 120.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 24.0N 122.3W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 24.6N 123.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 25.0N 124.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 25.0N 127.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 118.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG


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