Tropical Depression FOUR-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042014
2100 UTC SUN JUN 29 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 111.9W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 111.9W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 111.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.0N 113.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.6N 115.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.3N 116.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.7N 116.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.8N 117.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 18.9N 118.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 18.8N 120.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 111.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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