Tropical Depression FOUR-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042014
2100 UTC SAT JUN 28 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 105.8W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 105.8W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 105.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.3N 107.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.1N 110.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 16.7N 113.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.1N 114.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 17.5N 118.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 17.5N 120.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 105.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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