Hurricane CRISTINA

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HURRICANE CRISTINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032014
0900 UTC SAT JUN 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 111.2W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..140NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 111.2W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 111.0W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.7N 111.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 20.1N 112.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.5N 113.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.8N 114.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.5N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 22.0N 118.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 111.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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