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Tropical Depression NINE (Text)

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
700 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

CORRECTED DAY OF WEEK IN HEADLINE AND HAZARD SECTION

...SMALL DEPRESSION NEARING THE COAST OF CAMPECHE...
...COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR THURSDAY...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 91.2W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 105 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H
...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION
WILL MOVE ASHORE ALONG THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE
IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...THEN MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST WHILE THE
DEPRESSION MOVES INLAND...AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A REMNANT
TONIGHT OR THURSDAY AS IT MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

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