Hurricane GONZALO

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014               
2100 UTC TUE OCT 14 2014                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H.                                       
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  25(25)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  36(36)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  28(29)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)
ILE ST PIERRE  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
BURGEO NFLD    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
EDDY POINT NS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
SYDNEY NS      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  19(30)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   5(10)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  71(72)  12(84)   X(84)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  37(37)  14(51)   X(51)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  19(19)   9(28)   X(28)
 
MAYAGUANA      34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GRAND TURK     34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
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