Tropical Storm GONZALO
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
0300 UTC MON OCT 13 2014
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 1(12)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 9(26) 1(27)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 10(14) 4(18) 1(19)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 7(13) 2(15) X(15)
PONCE 34 X 5( 5) 26(31) 10(41) 3(44) 1(45) X(45)
PONCE 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
PONCE 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
SAN JUAN 34 1 8( 9) 48(57) 9(66) 3(69) X(69) 1(70)
SAN JUAN 50 X X( X) 18(18) 9(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28)
SAN JUAN 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
SAINT THOMAS 34 2 39(41) 43(84) 2(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87)
SAINT THOMAS 50 X 5( 5) 40(45) 3(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
SAINT CROIX 34 2 47(49) 26(75) 2(77) X(77) 1(78) X(78)
SAINT CROIX 50 X 9( 9) 21(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
SAINT CROIX 64 X 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 23 58(81) 3(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
SAINT MAARTEN 50 1 23(24) 3(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
SAINT MAARTEN 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 65 28(93) X(93) X(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 5 30(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BARBUDA 34 78 7(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
BARBUDA 50 9 6(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
BARBUDA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ANTIGUA 34 93 2(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
ANTIGUA 50 22 8(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
ANTIGUA 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GUADELOUPE 34 84 2(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
GUADELOUPE 50 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
AVES 34 2 6( 8) 3(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
DOMINICA 34 7 1( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
MARTINIQUE 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
NNNN
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