Hurricane GONZALO

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HURRICANE GONZALO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  28A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
800 AM AST SUN OCT 19 2014

...GONZALO STILL A HURRICANE OVER THE COLD WATERS OF THE NORTH
ATLANTIC...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...47.6N 50.1W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM E OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 52 MPH...83 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA THIS MORNING.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 47.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.1 WEST. GONZALO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 52 MPH...83 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS
FORECAST TONIGHT...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT. GONZALO WILL MOVE QUICKLY AWAY FROM NEWFOUNDLAND THIS
MORNING AND THEN RACE ACROSS THE OPEN NORTH ATLANTIC DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM. THE LARGEST EXTENT OF TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS IS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. DURING THE
PAST HOUR...CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF
41 MPH...67 KM/H...AND A GUST OF 55 MPH...89 KM/H.  ST. JOHNS
NEWFOUNDLAND RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 45 MPH...72 KM/H.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB...28.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA IN NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING.

SURF...COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS THREAT...
PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM ENVIRONMENT CANADA.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF THE
UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA THROUGH
TODAY. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS
FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

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