Hurricane GONZALO

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HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
0900 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.3N  52.9W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  45 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 100SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 160SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 270SE 180SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 420SE 420SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.3N  52.9W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.5N  54.8W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 50.1N  44.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 150SE  90SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 270SE 200SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 53.4N  31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE 150SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 300SE 270SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 56.2N  15.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 320SE 360SW 360NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 58.5N   2.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...190NE 420SE 600SW 480NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 46.3N  52.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


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