Hurricane GONZALO

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HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
2100 UTC THU OCT 16 2014
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TODAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N  68.2W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  942 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N  68.2W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  68.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 28.7N  67.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 31.1N  65.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 34.3N  64.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 130SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 39.0N  60.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 200SE 160SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 50.5N  46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE  80SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 200SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 55.0N  21.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N  68.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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