Tropical Depression FOUR
ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014
2100 UTC SAT AUG 23 2014
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 15(21)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 12(19)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
MAYPORT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 9(18)
MAYPORT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 7(14)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 8(23)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 5(19)
ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 14(20) 7(27)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 13(19) 7(26)
PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 12(22) 5(27)
FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 10(12) 10(22) 3(25)
W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 7( 9) 7(16) 2(18)
MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
MARCO ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9)
FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10)
VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 22(28) 14(42) 3(45)
GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 2(15)
GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 13(20) 21(41) 5(46) 1(47)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 2(13) X(13)
NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
ANDROS 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 10(16) 12(28) 3(31) 1(32)
ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ANDROS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GREAT EXUMA 34 1 10(11) 13(24) 10(34) 7(41) 2(43) X(43)
GREAT EXUMA 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
SAN SALVADOR 34 4 51(55) 12(67) 6(73) 3(76) X(76) X(76)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X 10(10) 8(18) 5(23) 3(26) X(26) X(26)
SAN SALVADOR 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MAYAGUANA 34 29 2(31) 2(33) 2(35) 3(38) X(38) X(38)
GRAND TURK 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
NNNN
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