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Hurricane CRISTOBAL (Text)

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
500 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

...CRISTOBAL PASSING BETWEEN BERMUDA AND CAPE HATTERAS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.7N 71.4W
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM W OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.4 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON
THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS
WELL WEST OF BERMUDA TONIGHT.

DATA FROM NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO...AND CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC FRIDAY NIGHT.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM. NOAA
BUOY 41048...LOCATED ABOUT 120 MILES...195 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 40
MPH...65 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 49 MPH...79 KM/H.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
LONG ISLAND...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
TOMORROW. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA THROUGH
TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

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