Hurricane CRISTOBAL

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HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
2100 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N  61.5W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  31 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT.......100NE 120SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 220SE 110SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 320SE 300SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N  61.5W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.5N  63.6W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.0N  54.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 160SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 45.2N  46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 160SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 49.3N  38.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  80SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 140SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 54.0N  31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 160SW 160NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 250SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 62.0N  23.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...240NE 200SE 200SW 240NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 320SW 360NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.5N  61.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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